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Bernanke: surging commodity prices won't affect inflation yet

Bernanke: surging commodity prices won't affect inflation yet

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Tue, 8 Feb 2011 14:46:00 CT

U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has publicly stated that fast-rising commodity prices will not accelerate the pace of U.S. inflation, and many investors are betting with the Fed's chief policymaker.U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has publicly stated that fast-rising commodity prices will not accelerate the pace of U.S. inflation, and many investors are betting with the Fed's chief policymaker.

The projections by analysts are done in increments of long-term price expectations; these include, for example, the difference between 10-year nominal and inflation-indexed Treasury bonds, which dropped 2.36 percentage points from February 4 from 2.41 points January 5, Bloomberg reports.The projections by analysts are done in increments of long-term price expectations; these include, for example, the difference between 10-year nominal and inflation-indexed Treasury bonds, which dropped 2.36 percentage points from February 4 from 2.41 points January 5, Bloomberg reports.

Though the effects of high commodity costs could spike later this year, many analysts contend that commodity costs could reach a warning threshold of around 2.75 points, it will be difficult for the spread to remain at those levels without significant growth in the U.S. labor market, Anthony Crescenzi, an executive vice president at Pacific Investment Management, affirmed to Bloomberg. Though the effects of high commodity costs could spike later this year, many analysts contend that commodity costs could reach a warning threshold of around 2.75 points, it will be difficult for the spread to remain at those levels without significant growth in the U.S. labor market, Anthony Crescenzi, an executive vice president at Pacific Investment Management, affirmed to Bloomberg.

As a result, the Fed will most likely keep its benchmark interest rates around zero throughout 2011 because of higher commodity prices, Crescenzi projects. "Headline inflation is beginning to have a greater influence on monetary policy, but not yet at the Fed," he asserted. As a result, the Fed will most likely keep its benchmark interest rates around zero throughout 2011 because of higher commodity prices, Crescenzi projects. "Headline inflation is beginning to have a greater influence on monetary policy, but not yet at the Fed," he asserted.

Bob Doll, the chief equity strategist for fundamental equities at BlackRock, concluded in a report that the Fed "appears to be awaiting economic growth that is stronger than 3.5 percent, a more significant decline in unemployment and rising expectations for inflation." Bob Doll, the chief equity strategist for fundamental equities at BlackRock, concluded in a report that the Fed "appears to be awaiting economic growth that is stronger than 3.5 percent, a more significant decline in unemployment and rising expectations for inflation."


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  • Capitol Commodity Services, Inc.

  • 6551 Carrollton Avenue
    Indianapolis, IN 46220
  • Toll-Free: 1-800-876-8050
  • Local: (317) 848-8050
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  • Email: info@ccstrade.com
  • SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MOST CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST SEVERAL YEARS.THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING, FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR YEAR.EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS.NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST, OR WILL IN THE FUTURE, ACHIEVE PROFITS USING THESE RECOMMENDATIONS.NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE.

  • THERE IS A RISK OF LOSS IN FUTURES TRADING AND IS NOT SUITABLE FOR
    ALL INVESTORS. ONLY RISK CAPITAL SHOULD BE USED WHEN TRADING FUTURES.
  • PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

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